Kansas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Watkins a 53% chance of winning the Kansas House 2018 primary. Steve Watkins won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve Watkins — 53% model odds (won)
2. Caryn Tyson — 29% model odds
3. Kevin Jones — 4% model odds
4. Steve Fitzgerald — 4% model odds
5. Dennis Pyle — 4% model odds
6. Doug Mays — 4% model odds
7. Vernon J. Fields — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts