Indiana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trey Hollingsworth a 69% chance of winning the Indiana House 2018 primary. Trey Hollingsworth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trey Hollingsworth — 69% model odds (won)
  2. James Dean Alspach — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts