Indiana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony "Big Dog" Van Pelt a 31% chance of winning the Indiana House 2018 primary. Wayne "Gunny" Harmon won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Tony "Big Dog" Van Pelt — 31% model odds
2. John L. Couch — 30% model odds
3. Donald, Jr. Eason — 13% model odds
4. J. Jason Davis — 13% model odds
5. J D Miniear — 6% model odds
6. Wayne "Gunny" Harmon — 6% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts