Indiana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Pence a 20% chance of winning the Indiana House 2018 primary. Greg Pence won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Greg Pence — 20% model odds (won)
2. Jonathan M. Lamb — 20% model odds
3. Stephen M. Mackenzie — 20% model odds
4. Mike Campbell — 20% model odds
5. Jeff Smith — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts