Indiana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dion Douglas a 39% chance of winning the Indiana House 2018 primary. Dee Thornton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Dion Douglas — 39% model odds
2. Dee Thornton — 15% model odds (won)
3. Kyle Moore — 15% model odds
4. Eshel Faraggi — 15% model odds
5. Sean Dugdale — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts