Indiana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roseann P. Ivanovich a 36% chance of winning the Indiana House 2018 primary. Mark Leyva won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Roseann P. Ivanovich — 36% model odds
2. Mark Leyva — 13% model odds (won)
3. John Meyer — 13% model odds
4. Nicholas Pappas — 13% model odds
5. David Dopp — 13% model odds
6. Jeremy D. Belko — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts