Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sara Dady a 25% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Sara Dady won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sara Dady — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Neill Mohammad — 25% model odds
  3. Amy "Murri" Briel — 25% model odds
  4. Beth Vercolio-Osmund — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts