Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nick Stella a 50% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Nick Stella won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nick Stella — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Constant G. "Connor" Vlakancic — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts