Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Casten a 48% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Sean Casten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Casten — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Kelly Mazeski — 30% model odds
  3. Carole Cheney — 7% model odds
  4. Amanda Howland — 3% model odds
  5. Becky Anderson Wilkins — 3% model odds
  6. Jennifer Zordani — 3% model odds
  7. Ryan Huffman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts