Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Quigley an 88% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Mike Quigley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Quigley — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Sameena Mustafa — 6% model odds
  3. Benjamin Thomas Wolf — 3% model odds
  4. Steven J. Schwartzberg — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts