Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jesus "Chuy" Garcia a 51% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Sol A. Flores — 43% model odds
  3. Richard Gonzalez — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts