Idaho House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Russ Fulcher a 14% chance of winning the Idaho House 2018 primary. Russ Fulcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Russ Fulcher — 14% model odds (won)
  2. David H. Leroy — 14% model odds
  3. Luke Malek — 14% model odds
  4. Christy Perry — 14% model odds
  5. Michael Snyder — 14% model odds
  6. Alex Gallegos — 14% model odds
  7. Nick Henderson — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts