Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave J.D. Scholten a 47% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. J.D. Scholten won, matching the model's top pick.

1. J.D. Scholten — 47% model odds (won)
2. Leann Jacobsen — 18% model odds
3. John Paschen — 18% model odds
4. Scattered — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts