Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Young a 66% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. David Young won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Young — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 17% model odds
  3. Paul Knupp — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts