Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Abby Finkenauer an 80% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. Abby Finkenauer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Abby Finkenauer — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 12% model odds
  3. Courtney L. Rowe — 3% model odds
  4. Thomas Heckroth — 3% model odds
  5. George Ramsey — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts