Hawaii Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Curtis a 35% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2018 primary. Ron Curtis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ron Curtis — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Robert C., Sr. Helsham — 15% model odds
  3. Thomas E. White — 15% model odds
  4. Consuelo Anderson — 7% model odds
  5. Rocky Mamaka De La Fuente — 7% model odds
  6. George L. Berish — 7% model odds
  7. Michael R. Hodgkiss — 7% model odds
  8. Eddie Pirkowski — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts