Hawaii House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tulsi Gabbard an 88% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2018 primary. Tulsi Gabbard won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tulsi Gabbard — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Sherry Alu Campagna — 9% model odds
  3. Anthony Tony Austin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts