Hawaii House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zachary B. Burd a 65% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2018 primary. Cam Cavasso won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Zachary B. Burd — 65% model odds
  2. Cam Cavasso — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Raymond Rene Vinole — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts