GU House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madeleine Z. Bordallo a 54% chance of winning the GU House 2018 primary. Michael F.Q. San Nicolas won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Madeleine Z. Bordallo — 54% model odds
- Michael F.Q. San Nicolas — 40% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 7% model odds