Georgia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn Bourdeaux an 80% chance of winning the Georgia House 2018 primary. Carolyn Bourdeaux won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carolyn Bourdeaux — 80% model odds (won)
2. David Kim — 10% model odds
3. Ethan Pham — 3% model odds
4. Melissa Davis — 3% model odds
5. Kathleen Allen — 3% model odds
6. Steve Reilly — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts