Georgia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lucy Mcbath an 81% chance of winning the Georgia House 2018 primary. Lucy Mcbath won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lucy Mcbath — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Abel — 6% model odds
  3. Bobby Kaple — 6% model odds
  4. Steven Knight Griffin — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts