Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maria Elvira Salazar a 34% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Maria Elvira Salazar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Maria Elvira Salazar — 34% model odds (won)
  2. Bettina Rodriguez Aguilera — 18% model odds
  3. Michael Ohevzion — 12% model odds
  4. Bruno A. Barreiro — 6% model odds
  5. Maria Peiro — 6% model odds
  6. Stephen Marks — 6% model odds
  7. Angie Chirino — 6% model odds
  8. Elizabeth Adadi — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts