Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carlos J. Reyes a 67% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Joseph "Joe" Kaufman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Carlos J. Reyes — 67% model odds
- Joseph "Joe" Kaufman — 17% model odds (won)
- Carla Spalding — 17% model odds