Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Mast a 93% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Brian Mast won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Mast — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Freeman — 4% model odds
  3. Dave Cummings — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts