Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave April # Freeman a 66% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. April # Freeman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. April # Freeman — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Allen # Ellison — 17% model odds
  3. Bill Pollard — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts