Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Neil Combee a 58% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Ross Spano won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Neil Combee — 58% model odds
2. Ross Spano — 26% model odds (won)
3. Sean Harper — 5% model odds
4. Danny Kushmer — 5% model odds
5. Ed Shoemaker — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts