Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kristen Carlson an 81% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Kristen Carlson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kristen Carlson — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Andrew P. Learned — 9% model odds
  3. Raymond "Ray" Peña — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts