Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darren Soto a 58% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Darren Soto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darren Soto — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Alan Grayson — 42% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts