Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Soderberg a 65% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Nancy Soderberg won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nancy Soderberg — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen Sevigny — 29% model odds
  3. John Upchurch — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts