Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Gaetz a 93% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Matt Gaetz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Gaetz — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Cris Dosev — 4% model odds
  3. John Mills — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts