Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Phil Ehr a 72% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Jennifer M. Zimmerman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Phil Ehr — 72% model odds
  2. Jennifer M. Zimmerman — 28% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts