DC House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nelson F. Rimensnyder a 50% chance of winning the DC House 2018 primary. Scattered won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Nelson F. Rimensnyder — 50% model odds
2. Scattered — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts