DC House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton a 40% chance of winning the DC House 2018 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 40% model odds (won)
2. Kim R. Ford — 15% model odds
3. Scattered — 15% model odds
4. Natale "Lino" Stracuzzi — 15% model odds
5. Scattered — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts