Connecticut Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matthew Corey a 57% chance of winning the Connecticut Senate 2018 primary. Matthew Corey won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Matthew Corey — 57% model odds (won)
2. Dominic Rapini — 14% model odds
3. Joe Visconti — 14% model odds
4. Jeff Russell — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts