Connecticut House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruby Corby-O'Neill a 69% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2018 primary. Manny Santos won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Ruby Corby-O'Neill — 69% model odds
2. Manny Santos — 11% model odds (won)
3. Richard Du Pont — 11% model odds
4. Craig Diangelo — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts