California Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dianne Feinstein a 35% chance of winning the California Senate 2018 primary. Dianne Feinstein won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dianne Feinstein — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Douglas Howard Pierce — 22% model odds
  3. Kevin De Leon — 15% model odds (won)
  4. Donnie O. Turner — 5% model odds
  5. Alison Hartson — 3% model odds
  6. Pat Harris — 3% model odds
  7. Adrienne Nicole Edwards — 3% model odds
  8. David Hildebrand — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts