California House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Morgan Murtaugh a 42% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Morgan Murtaugh won, matching the model's top pick.
- Morgan Murtaugh — 42% model odds (won)
- Brett A. Goda — 30% model odds
- Matt Mendoza — 20% model odds (won)
- Shawn Gino Kane — 8% model odds