California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo a 37% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Juan M., Jr. Hidalgo — 37% model odds (won)
  2. John R., Jr. Renison — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Louis A. Fuentes — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts