California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Duncan Hunter a 35% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Duncan Hunter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Duncan Hunter — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Wells — 35% model odds (won)
  3. S. "Shamus" Sayed — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts