California House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rocky J. Chávez a 35% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Diane L. Harkey won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Rocky J. Chávez — 35% model odds
- Diane L. Harkey — 34% model odds (won)
- Joshua Schoonover — 6% model odds
- Kristin Gaspar — 4% model odds (won)
- Brian Maryott — 4% model odds
- Mike Schmitt — 4% model odds
- Craig A. Nordal — 4% model odds
- David Medway — 4% model odds