California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Levin a 32% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Mike Levin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Levin — 32% model odds (won)
2. Sara Jacobs — 30% model odds (won)
3. Doug Applegate — 29% model odds
4. Paul G. Kerr — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts