California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dana Rohrabacher a 36% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Dana Rohrabacher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dana Rohrabacher — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Baugh — 35% model odds (won)
  3. John Gabbard — 7% model odds
  4. Paul Martin — 7% model odds
  5. Shastina Sandman — 7% model odds
  6. Stelian Onufrei — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts