California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Katie Porter a 33% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Katie Porter won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Katie Porter — 33% model odds (won)
2. Dave Min — 32% model odds (won)
3. Kia Hamadanchy — 26% model odds
4. Brian Forde — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts