California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nanette Diaz Barragán a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Nanette Diaz Barragán won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Nanette Diaz Barragán — 50% model odds (won)
2. Aja L. Brown — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts