California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Young Kim a 49% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Young Kim won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Young Kim — 49% model odds (won)
2. John J. Cullum — 12% model odds
3. Phil Liberatore — 8% model odds (won)
4. Shawn Nelson — 8% model odds
5. Bob Huff — 8% model odds
6. Steven C. Vargas — 8% model odds
7. Andrew Sarega — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts