California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Karen Lee Schatzle a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Karen Lee Schatzle won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Karen Lee Schatzle — 50% model odds (won)
2. Steve Cox — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts