California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sophia J. Alexander a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Sophia J. Alexander won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Sophia J. Alexander — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ted M. Alemayhu — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts