California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gil Cisneros a 57% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Gil Cisneros won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Gil Cisneros — 57% model odds (won)
2. Herbert H. Lee — 12% model odds
3. Andy Thorburn — 8% model odds (won)
4. Sam Jammal — 8% model odds
5. Mai Khanh Tran — 8% model odds
6. Suzi Park Leggett — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts