California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kimberlin Brown Pelzer a 35% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Kimberlin Brown Pelzer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kimberlin Brown Pelzer — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Bentley — 25% model odds
  3. Dan Ball — 14% model odds (won)
  4. Douglas Hassett — 14% model odds
  5. Stephan J. Wolkowicz — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts