California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grace Flores Napolitano a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Grace Flores Napolitano won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Grace Flores Napolitano — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ricardo De La Fuente — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts